Friday, January 4, 2008

Filowitz's Friday Five

NFL Playoff prediction edition!

1) The Chargers should beat the Titans handily. I don't completely trust this Chargers team, but they can score points, and if they do, the Titans don't have the offense to match. The only way this goes wrong for San Diego is if they once again forget that they have the best running back in the league (and in the conversation for best all time) and put it in the hands of Phillip Rivers (in the conversation for most worthless supposedly good QB in the league) to win the game. I assume Norv Turner, despite his myriad flaws, will not do that.

2) Seattle will beat Washington. Seattle wins at home, and Todd Collins will turn into a pumpkin soon enough. What if Washington loses by 42? Does that mean the ghost of Sean Taylor is giving them two middle fingers?

3) Pittsburgh beats Jacksonville. I hate how everyone is assuming Jacksonville will win, on the road, against a legit team like Pittsburgh (despite their injuries.) Really, you can't see Pittsburgh rallying as the "everyone is against us, in our own house!" team, and pulling off the "upset"? Omar Epps agrees with me.

4) Tampa Bay beats the Giants. Because Eli is fucking horrible. How's that for analysis, huh?

5) It's hard to imagine it not being Dallas-Green Bay and New England-Indy in the respective conference championships. Those were the four best teams all year, and they shouldn't lose their first home playoff games. So that means, of course, that this will not happen, robbing us of a satisfying conclusion to the season. Remember I said this if New England is beating Tampa Bay 62-3 in the third quarter of the Super Bowl.

6 comments:

THE INNOVATOR said...

I am not saying the guy is great or anything but at the end of the day you pay your QB's to win games.

So riddle me this, naem the 4 current QB's who have led their teams to 3 consecutive trips to the playoffs?





Give up? Peyton Manning, Tom Brady, Matt Hasslebeck, and Eli Manning...thats it, thats the list.

Dan Filowitz said...

Now, name which one of those four QBs has yet to win one playoff game.

Hmmm. Interesting.


Here's another list: Rex Grossman, Trent Dilfer, Brad Johnson.

They answer the question, what QBs went with their team to the Super Bowl in spite of their own mediocrity.

zman said...

Kris is right. Eli is really good at football. I'd rather have Eli on my team than Jeff Garcia, Tony Romo, Derek Anderson, Matt Schaub, Philip Rivers, Kurt Warner, Ben Roethlisberger, and John Kitna, all guys off the top of my head who the Giants could have had (or actually did have) at QB since the Era of Eli began in NY.

THE INNOVATOR said...

Great list Andrew, but what have most of those guys done that Eli hasn't? Roethlisberger won a super bowl. We had Warner and he sucked so much donkey dick that they went to Eli.

Kitna and Garcia are journeymen, thats what they are. Schaub, Anderson, and Rivers are young guys with potential, just like Eli accept he has a better record than them. And Romo while it looks like he will probably be better than Eli he has won as many playoff games as the youngest Manning too.

I have to go back to The Wisdom archives but this is the same guy who has a blatant distaste for Eli's older brother and basically said he would never ever win the big won for a myriad of reasons, so when it comes to predicting Mannings Andrew ain't so hot

zman said...

If Eli didn't throw 20 picks, take 27 sacks for 217 yards, and fumble 13 times (losing 7) I might give him the benefit of the doubt. But his numbers are not getting better. He also ranks in the bottom half or quarter of QB's in a shitload of stats. Check it out:

http://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2007/passing.htm

Eli does stupid annoying things that kill drives, like fumble the snap or fumble the ball as he pulls it back to throw. He does this more than any QB I can recall. In four years Eli has 34 fumbles (including those not lost). Big Ben has 18. Carson Palmer has 27. Matt Hasselback, who I also don't like, has 37 in 9 years. Jeff Garcia has 52 in 9 years. Peyton has 51 in 10 years. So Eli fumbles a lot compared to some other QB.

For instance, against the Pats he killed a key drive in the 4th with his fumbling. The Jints were up 28-23 with about 12 minutes left. Eli fumbled the snap on 1st down, threw a shitty incompletion to Burress on 2nd, and on 3rd and 11 he threw a 4 yard pass to David Tyree. Then Brady threw two bombs to Moss, one of which was the 65 yard TD.

Eli also did everything he could to lose to the Bills. Zero TD, 2 picks and 5 fumbles are not ideal stats for a QB on a playoff team against a non-playoff team missing 5 defensive starters. Had the Bills not collectively decided to shit the bed and give up 21 third quarter points on INT returns and a long run to Ahmad fucking Bradshaw, who had 6 carries all year before that game, then Eli would have been lambasted on WFAN for his shitty play. Yes, I'm bitter about that game.

Maybe the light will go on for Eli in year 5 and he'll figure out how to QB at the pro level. But he gives me little reason to believe it will happen.

THE INNOVATOR said...

Again I am not saying Eli is the answer, the savior or the way the truth and the light, but again you haven't given me any viable option that the Giants could have besides him right now, and he is getting you to the playoffs. Even as Dan said teams have won superbowls in spite of their QB's mediocrity. He has helped get you there 3 years in a row, so if you are going to give him the brunt of the blame when the lose the playoff game you have to be willing to give him his due when he helps lead the team to the playoffs.